The Landscape Has Changed In The Mortgage Industry
May 9, 2008 – 10:24 amRemember the good old days (2002 to 2005), when all you had to do to buy a house was be able to fog a mirror and prove that you had a heart beat? Well, those days are over, and here’s why.

Some of you may remember other industries that have had “price wars”, gas stations across the street from each other is a classic example. Something similar was happening about 6 years ago in the mortgage industry. With mortgage companies, and Wall Street investors becoming increasingly hungry to cash in on the booming real estate market, they got more and more aggressive with their underwriting guidelines allowing more and more people to qualify for a mortgage loan. As the mortgage paper continued to perform (and provide profitable for investors), the guidelines continued to loosen. Finally in 2005, it was almost a joke (in the industry and among my colleagues) at how many people were able to get approved for a loan.
Of course, in true American style, no one thinks about tomorrow, they only see the shiny brass ring and say “I want it now”, with little regard to the long term affects. Enter 2007 when adjustable rates starting adjusting right about the same time that the market was cooling, and all those that were convinced they could take and adjustable rate and refinance later were slapped with the reality that a refinance is not an option if there is no longer any equity in the home. It has been more than a year now since that storm cloud began forming, and we are not out of the woods yet, but here is where we stand in the mortgage industry today.

- Fannie Mae (the nations top backer of mortgage loans) has had many changes in the way that they will underwrite and execute a mortgage loan. The term “Declining Markets” has entered the vocabulary of many mortgage professionals meaning that if a property is located in a zip code that is deemed to have declining values, the amount of the required down payment is increased by 5%. This means that if you are looking to buy a house in Florida with a Fannie Mae loan, and the property shows up in the database for declining markets, you will have to come up with more money out of pocket. This has a ripple effect because the value of your home is what someone is willing to pay for it in an unbiased open market transaction. However, if the available buyers are limited to only those who can come up with the extra cash, you as a seller have just had your pool of available buyers drained.

- Subprime companies came into existence as an alternative to borrowers that wanted to buy a home, but for one reason or another, could not meet the underwriting criteria placed by Fannie Mae. In exchange, they charge higher rates and give worse terms for taking the added risk associated with the borrower. Five years ago, life was good for the subprime companies, but their “Ready…Fire….Aim” policies proved to be their own demise and consequently 95% of them are out of business today. The ones left have been so debilitated by the investors willing to buy their mortgage backed securities that there is very little difference between them and Fannie Mae (only with worse terms).
- Welcome back FHA and VA! Add the words “Government” and “Loan Program” together and you hear the collective groaning of mortgage people everywhere. There was a time where I would rather stab myself in the eye with a rusty spoon than deal with government underwriting….and today….there is no choice. In today’s market (as a mortgage professional), you fall into one of 2 categories: 1) Those who are writing government loans, or 2) Those who are looking for a new job. It really is that simple.
FHA was the original “subprime” mortgage. Allowing people with outside of the box credit or income criteria to still get qualified for a mortgage. And the VA loan has always been available to qualified military personnel, but it hasn’t always been the best option due to the costs of the VA funding fee. Today, if you want to get 100% financing, the VA loan one one of the handful of options left.
In summary, there are still loans available for qualified buyers, it just may be harder to qualify than it was when you bought your last home.
Something you may or may not be aware of is how valuable your name is to those who sell information.
According to RealtyTrac (a leading real estate research firm), in addition to foreclosure activity increasing for the last 7 quarters in a row, foreclosure filings for the first quarter of 2008 are more than double the same period for 2007. With the current state of the economy, and continued lagging real estate re-sale market, experts predict that the “meltdown” will continue well into next year.